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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2026  ·  MID-MORNING REPORT  ·  YESTERDAY: October 15, 2026
Today's Outlook — FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2026
PITCHER STRIKEOUT PROJECTIONS
No starters found for today.
Box = IQR (25th–75th percentile) · Whiskers = 1st–99th percentile · Center line = projected median · Red line = actual observed Ks · Projection blends pitcher's last 3 starts (same home/away side) with opponent's last 3 games vs same-handedness starters · 60-day lookback
HIGH TOTAL BASE PROJECTIONS
BATTER OPPONENT PROJ TBHR%J2+OPP pHR+EDGE
Francisco Alvarez vs DJ Herz 2.24 5.2% 106.6 92.5 BAT+14
Mike Yastrzemski vs Janson Junk 2.18 5.2% 101.0 105.0
Cal Raleigh vs Yusei Kikuchi 2.18 6.2% None 101.0
Kyle Schwarber vs Nick Martinez 2.12 5.0% 121.9 124.4
Drew Cavanaugh vs Jack Dreyer 2.06 4.8% 73.1 127.4 PIT-54
Dane Myers vs Max Scherzer 2.02 4.0% 98.3 111.9 PIT-14
Randal Grichuk vs Kyle Freeland 2.02 5.0% 159.0 90.8 BAT+68
Max Muncy vs Carson Seymour 2.02 4.4% 124.9 99.2 BAT+26
Josh Rojas vs Parker Messick 2.01 5.4% 85.4 106.4 PIT-21
Drake Baldwin vs Janson Junk 2.01 5.2% 121.9 105.0 BAT+17
Trevor Story vs Shota Imanaga 2.00 4.4% 98.3 98.0
Sal Stewart vs Max Scherzer 1.98 4.6% 119.0 111.9
GAME WIN PICKS
MATCHUP AWAY STARTER HOME STARTER PROJ TOTAL PICK
No game projections for today yet.
Game runs: starter proj_ops × 9.0 − 0.88 · Bullpen not modeled · Push = <0.1 run diff
KEY MATCHUP MISMATCHES
Eduardo Valencia vs Jared Jones
BATTER EDGE J2+:178.2 / G3+:106.0 (gap: 72.2)
Randal Grichuk vs Kyle Freeland
BATTER EDGE J2+:159.0 / G3+:99.3 (gap: 59.7)
Rafael Flores Jr. vs River Ryan
BATTER EDGE J2+:151.4 / G3+:100.0 (gap: 51.4)
Yordan Alvarez vs Seth Johnson
BATTER EDGE J2+:144.7 / G3+:100.8 (gap: 43.9)
Christian Encarnacion-Strand vs Elmer Rodríguez
BATTER EDGE J2+:143.2 / G3+:100.4 (gap: 42.8)
Andrés Chaparro vs Sean Manaea
BATTER EDGE J2+:143.0 / G3+:101.7 (gap: 41.3)
Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Tanner Houck
BATTER EDGE J2+:140.9 / G3+:None (gap: 40.9)
Lucas Spence vs Seth Johnson
BATTER EDGE J2+:139.7 / G3+:100.8 (gap: 38.9)
Yesterday's Final Scores
Focus Team Box Scores — October 15, 2026
No focus team games yesterday.
● DATA INTEGRITY: CLEAN   ·   2026-10-16   ·   159 games checked, 0 missing/incomplete (0 fixed), 0 PA mismatches
All checks passed
Generated 2026-10-16 10:02 ET · MiaCorp Analytics · Models: pK+ (K rate r=+0.560), pHR+ (HR rate r=−0.357), Juiced+2 (SLG r=+0.558)